May 16th, 2025
Final Destination: Bloodlines is headed for an excellent opening weekend, with our model predicting it will breeze past the best opening weekend for the franchise, a record held by The Final Destination, AKA Final Destination 4, which clocked in with $27.4 million on its opening weekend back in 2009. Adjusted for ticket price inflation, that’s $41.3 million in today’s movie ticket dollars. Bloodlines stands a decent chance of topping that number too.
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May 9th, 2025
Thunderbolts (The New Avengers) will do battle at the top of the box office chart with Sinners this weekend. Thunderbolts* (is it still OK to call it that?) enters the weekend as favorite, with our model predicting a 59% decline from its opening, while Sinners is expected to fall just 18% in its fourth weekend. If those numbers hold up, the two films will both be hovering somewhere in the high 20s to low 30s over three days. With Thunderbolts holding on to PLF screens, it most likely has the edge.
While those two fight for the title this weekend, four new wide releases arrive in theaters.
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May 2nd, 2025
Thunderbolts* stacked up $11.5 million in preview grosses yesterday, and is set to post one of the biggest weekends of 2025. That’s objectively great news, coming off a fantastic April for the industry, courtesy of A Minecraft Movie and Sinners. The only asterisk against the performance of Thunderbolts is that it will post another sub-$100-million opening for the Marvel Cinematic Universe.
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April 25th, 2025
Sinners is the clear favorite to win at the box office this weekend, but The Accountant 2 and Star Wars: Revenge of the Sith are both mounting strong challenges, and A Minecraft Movie is still doing good business. Our model is predicting a fairly close race at the top, but there’s reason to believe Sinners will turn out to be a fairly comfortable winner.
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April 18th, 2025
Sinners is opening to fantastic reviews and posted good preview numbers on Thursday, with $4.7 million already in the bank going into Friday. Our model thinks that should translate into an opening weekend around $47 million. Whether that will be enough to defeat A Minecraft Movie depends on how that family-friendly film competes over Easter weekend.
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April 15th, 2025
Ryan Coogler’s supernatural horror movie, starring Michael B. Jordan opens in theaters on Friday, April 18. Full movie details.
Trying to leave their troubled lives behind, twin brothers return to their hometown to start again, only to discover that an even greater evil is waiting to welcome them back.
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