Weekend predictions: Spider-Man sets sights on $100-million debut

June 2, 2023

Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse is looking at a $100-million opening, based on the pedigree of the franchise and strong Thursday previews. The Boogeyman is hoping to hit with some Summertime horror counter-programming.

Here’s how the model looked at Across the Spider-Verse coming into the weekend:

It’s actually an accident of data that meant that the whole Spider-Man franchise was used as a point of comparison, instead of the previous Spider-Verse movie. I think that actually worked out to give a pretty good prediction, which is confirmed by the Thursday preview numbers:

Just like Ariel last weekend, Miles will have to wait a while to know whether the $100-million barrier will be broken on debut.

The Boogeyman has more modest goals, but should hit the top five:

Here’s what the model thinks the top 10 will look like.

After a good Memorial Day weekend, it looks as though we could see an “up” weekend, based on a 3-day-weekend to 3-day-weekend comparison. That counts as a victory, and starts June off with a bang.

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Bruce Nash

Filed under: Weekend Preview, Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse, The Boogeyman