Weekend Estimates: Glass and Others put a Ceiling on New Releases

January 27, 2019

The Kid Who Would Be King

Glass bounced back after a weak Friday earning an estimated $19.05 million over the weekend for a two-week total of $73.59 million. This is even better than our original prediction. It’s practically guaranteed to get to $100 million domestically, while it is doing a little better internationally. This weekend it pulled in $23.6 million for a two-week total of $89.1 million. The film has yet to open in China and when it does, it will get past $250 million worldwide.

It looks like The Upside will hold on even better than anticipated with an estimated $12.24 million over the weekend and a three-week total of $63.14 million. At this point, we have to start talking about $100 million domestically. It’s not a sure thing to get there, or even a coin toss to get there, but it is now a possibility.

Aquaman should remain in third place with $7.35 million, but it is a close race. More importantly, its international estimate is $7.8 million giving it a running tally of $1.09 billion.

Estimates have The Kid Who Would Be King in fourth place with $7.25 million. On the one hand, it wouldn’t have to beat this estimate by a lot to grab third place. On the other hand, it wouldn’t have to miss this estimate by a lot to fall below the Mendoza Line*. The film’s reviews are certainly better than this result, even its B plus from CinemaScore is better than this result.

Spider-Man: Into The Spider-Verse is holding onto fifth place with $6.15 million over the weekend for a seven-week total of $169.04 million. Frankly, it could stick in fifth place next weekend as well, if the buzz from its Oscar nomination continues to help its box office numbers.

Speaking of Oscar nominations, Green Book landed in sixth place according to estimates with $5.41 million over the weekend for a running tally of $49.00 million.

Unfortunately, Serenity wasn’t able to live up to low expectations and its weekend estimate is just $4.8 million. If this holds, it will open below the Mendoza Line. Additionally, with weak reviews and a D plus from CinemaScore, its legs will likely be very short.

*The Mendoza line is when a movie earns less than $2,000 per theater.

- Weekend Box Office Chart

- The Kid Who Would Be King Comparisons
- Serenity Comparisons

Filed under: Weekend Estimates, Aquaman, Spider-Man: Into The Spider-Verse 3D, Glass, The Kid Who Would Be King, The Upside, Serenity, Green Book