Weekend Estimates: Glass Cracks, Still Tops Chart
January 20, 2019
Glass’s box office potential has continued to drop and it is now estimated to earn $40.59 million over the three-day weekend and $47.06 million over four. The three-day opening is barely ahead of Split’s opening weekend and it is certainly lower in terms of tickets sold. Furthermore, Glass’s reviews and B-rating from CinemaScore are clearly already having a negative effect on the film’s legs. That said, the film only cost $20 million to make and while Universal is only handling the domestic run, it will break even just on its domestic numbers. The film’s international run is being handled by Disney, mostly, and they reported $48.5 million in 55 markets. The only market the film hasn’t opened in is China, which is the only international market Disney is not handling the distribution. According to Disney, the film is 13% ahead of Split internationally, but again, given its weaker reviews and its CinemaScore, its legs will likely be short enough that Glass will finish with less than its predecessor. Then again, it cost just $20 million to make and will likely hit $100 million worldwide on Monday, so everyone involved will be happy with this result.
The Upside is estimated to earn almost as much over three days, $15.67 million, as we predicted it would earn over four, $16 million. It is expected to earn between $19 million to $20 million over the four-day weekend. The film has already earned more than it cost to make, which is amazing, because not too long ago, the film might have been shelved entirely due to the Harvey Weinstein scandal.
Dragon Ball Super: Broly had better than average legs over the weekend and is estimated to earn $10.66 million / $14.16 million over the weekend and its Wednesday through Monday number could be as high as $25 million. At this point, every studio is probably looking at Anime franchises to see what they can import to make some easy cash. I’m all for this, as long as they also push the high quality films for Awards Season glory.
Aquaman’s estimates are so close that it might end up in third place once the weekend final numbers are announced. As it is, the film is expected to earn $10.33 million over the three-day weekend and close to $13 million over four. It did top $300 million domestically and $750 million internationally for a worldwide total of $1.06 billion.
Spider-Man: Into The Spider-Verse and A Dog’s Way Home are basically in a tie for fourth place. Into The Spider-Verse is expected to win over the three-day weekend $7.26 million to $7.11 million, but A Dog’s Way Home is expected to win over the four-day weekend $9.50 million to $9.16 million. Both films were made by Sony, so they will be able to celebrate no matter what the final weekend results are.
Also of note, Bohemian Rhapsody broke through the $200 million milestone over the weekend.
Finally, while Dragon Ball Super: Broly had a stunning start as a limited release, Who Will Write Our History is also doing very well with an estimated $12,719 in one theater.
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Filed under: Weekend Estimates, Aquaman, Glass, Bohemian Rhapsody, The Upside, A Dog’s Way Home, Dragon Ball Super: Broly, Who Will Write Our History