Weekend Estimates: Force aweakens with $88.3 million weekend
January 3, 2016
The rest of the chart looks comparatively strong this weekend, and overall we’ll have the biggest New Year’s weekend of all time. Daddy’s Home will be second with $29 million for a very impressive $93.7 million after two weekends. The Hateful Eight will clock in with $16.24 million or so for third place, which is a little disappointing, actually. Tarantino generally delivers between $20 million and $30 million opening weekend, and the headline figure this time has been deflated a bit by the film expanding wide on Wednesday. If it struggles from here on, it will be a major disappointment for Weinstein.
Two films really stand out in limited release. The Revenant will post $450,000 from four theaters, for an average over $100,000 for the second weekend running. Essentially every show is sold out, and it will be down just 5% from opening weekend. Anomalisa will debut with $140,000 from four theaters for an average of $35,000. There was a time when that would be close to record territory, and even though it seems pedestrian compared to some recent limited debuts, it’s a very promising start.
Also cracking $10,000 averages, and getting honorable mentions, are two foreign films: Chimes at Midnight is set to earn about $20,000 from a single location, and Only Yesterday will score a little over $13,000, also from one theaters.
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Bruce Nash, bruce.nash@the-numbers.com
This weekend sees the first signs of a slow-down at the box office for The Force Awakens, which will be down 41% from last weekend, according to Disney’s Sunday morning estimate. That’s the worst comparative performance in the top ten, and much weaker than Avatar’s 9% decline the same weekend in 2010. Such statistics are fairly academic when you already have $700 million in the bank domestically, though, and Star Wars’ momentum coming out of the holidays is such that it will register the biggest ever New Year’s weekend, and the biggest-ever 3rd weekend, overtaking Avatar’s $68.5 million. With $770.5 million overseas so far, its global total is now over $1.5 billion, putting it in the top six all time, and guaranteeing it will end in the top three, with only Titanic and Avatar left to shoot for.
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Filed under: Weekend Estimates, Star Wars Ep. VII: The Force Awakens, The Revenant, The Hateful Eight, Anomalisa, Daddy’s Home, Omohide poro poro (おもひでぽろぽろ), Campanadas a medianoche, Star Wars, Quentin Tarantino